2012-12-13 / Editorial

Fighter choice: military or political decision?

TO DATE, most of the controversy over the proposed purchase of 65 Lockheed Martin Joint Strike Fighters, alias F-35 Lightning II aircraft, has concerned its cost. But a more important issue is surely whether the expensive stealth plane is really what’s needed to replace Canada’s current fighter jet, the Boeing CF-18 Hornet.

Rightly or wrongly, we have seen the F-35 as essentially a manned version of the drones now being used with such controversial effectiveness in the Far East.

Both aircraft are primarily designed for first-strike purposes, something the United States military has been using for military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, but something that doesn’t fit Canada’s historic role as a peace-keeper.

It strikes us that the Canadian public has never been given a credible explanation for a decision by the federal government 10 years ago to invest $160 million (US) in an effort, led by the U.S. and Britain, to see the F-35 developed to serve as NATO's air backbone for decades to come.

Was it just a matter of joining the club?

That decision, made by the Liberal government of former prime minister Jean Chrétien, led to decisions by subsequent governments not to seek competitive bids for replacement of the aging fleet of CF18’s delivered by Boeing in the 1980s, nearly half of which are no longer in active service.

Thankfully, the Harper government is apparently about to go shopping for alternatives to the F-35 and has engaged four independent monitors, among them University of Ottawa professor Philippe Lagassé, an outspoken critic of the jet procurement.

The Conservatives, who have been heavily criticized for selecting the F-35 without due regard for price and availability, are also trying to repair their credibility as stewards of public money by releasing new estimates that may indicate the full lifetime costs of the F-35 purchases have surpassed all previous forecasts and now exceed $40 billion.

As part of restarting the military procurement process from scratch, government officials will collect information from other plane manufacturers, including Boeing, maker of the Super-Hornet, and a consortium behind the Eurofighter Typhoon.

They may also contact Sweden’s Saab, manufacturer of the Gripen, and France’s Dassault, maker of the Rafale.

This week, the government will start this process by releasing National Defence’s updated cost estimates for buying the F-35 fighters, and an independent review by KPMG of the forecast price for keeping the jets flying for their projected 36-year lifespan.

But what we have not yet heard with any precision is just what role any new jet fighters are to fill.

If it’s still true that the role will include search-and-rescue work, it would seem obvious that cold-weather performance and flight ranges are far more important than stealth capability or the latest in flight technology.

In the circumstances, a wise move by the government would be to have a select committee hold hearings on this basic issue of mandate.

Since it’s their tax money that will finance the purchases, Canadians ought to be told far more than just what the different jets would cost. And with the government now doubting that its budgetary deficits will be slain during its current term in office, cost will be a particularly important consideration.

As matters stand, the proposed purchase of 65 F-35 jets strikes us as akin to a family of four that’s already in debt looking seriously at buying a Porsche instead of a minivan at a fraction of the price.

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The best evidence of the

The best evidence of the future RCAF fighter role is simply to look at past use: essentially expeditionary missions with our allies (Gulf War 1, Serbia, Libya) as well commitments to support allies in time of need (Nato/Europe, Australia, etc), and of course North American Air Defence. The F35, is optimal for the air-ground role and therefore a perfect choice in Expeditionary Missions overseas, but it also retains excellent Air-Air capability. For the Air Combat Role the F35 possesses sensors + sensor fusion that are superior to every other aircraft available, and the fact that it's weapons & fuel are internal means less drag and more range than most other contenders (eg. Combat radius of nearly 600 Nautical Miles (on internal fuel)vs. <400 for F18 Super Hornet (with external tanks)). And if you are willing to surrender Stealth in the Air Defence role you can extend that range to >700 with external tanks (which is what every other competitor does). Moreover, with the new Cuda missle being developed for the F35 it should have a potential to carry up to 8 air-air BVR missles. For manuver it has high AOA (angle of attack) capability recently tested to 50 degrees (versus 30 & 40 for F16 & F18). If you look at the objective evidence, the F35 is a superior multi-role fighter. So if you want an analogy, it's like trying to decide how to harm your constabulary: if they are likely to actually come up against armed gangs with assault rifles, it doesn't make much sense to save money by arming them with pistols only.

This is now the KEY

This is now the KEY statement "But what we have not yet heard with any precision is just what role any new jet fighters are to fill". The current Requirements Definition needs to be clearly stated before Canada goes shopping for any aircraft. Once there is a cogent Requirements Definition then the Government, perhaps with DND, can see what's being produced, developed anywhere in the world. If there is a suitable aircraft, and the likelyhood it is cuurently being produced in Canada unless it's in the Stables of Bombardier, Diamond or Viking. There may be a small UAV somewhere. So then we coming to both arriving at a contract with industrial, and perhaps other benefits to Canada and how the Program cost is presented. If Rona Ambrose isn't aware of this there's well established procedures in Life Cycle Costing - we can go the 'lust to dust' version which should incorporate all the costs, or 'cradle to grave' version which the politicians still might not like, but it's what at least Auditors General and the public at large should see. If we don't see these clearly defined then someone is 'blowing smoke' So let's not start looking around for 'toys for the boys (and girls, too these days, but let's get down to the serious business of a clearly defined and readily understood Requirements Definition supported intelligent rationale.

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